Head-to-head · Blitz Index v1.0 (frozen) · 2026 Q4

Broadcom vs Marvell Technology

13 straight quarters of AI semiconductor acceleration — the second blitz is underway. FY2026 +42% is pure organic growth — and optical DSP share is 60%+.

Broadcom (AVGO)
61
Grade B
VS
Broadcom by 3
Marvell Technology (MRVL)
58
Grade C
ItemMaxBroadcomMarvell Technology
Blitz Index total/ 1006158
Grade—BC
A · Speed/ 252019
B · Moat/ 603632
C · Creative destruction/ 15109
D · Demerits/ 30-5-2

The success line is 65. Demerits (section D) are subtracted; a demerit total of 15 or more flags a company for BlitzFailing watch. Scores as of the 2026 Q4 review.

Verdict — business structure only

Nearly tied (61 vs 58) with almost identical shapes. Broadcom is slightly faster (20 vs 19): AI semiconductors +221% YoY for a 13th straight quarter of acceleration, against Marvell's +42% purely organic FY2026 growth. The moats are close (36 vs 32) but different in kind: Broadcom's is custom XPU contracts with 6 customers and a ~$110B order backlog, while Marvell's is optical DSP share (60–65%) and 35+ hyperscaler sockets. Both sit in the same displacement story — Broadcom's custom accelerators displacing merchant GPUs inside hyperscalers, Marvell riding the bottleneck that moved from compute to connectivity. Broadcom carries heavier demerits (−5 vs −2) from the VMware pricing-litigation cluster, and the structural difference is that Broadcom sells the accelerator itself while Marvell sells the connectivity around it.

Key figures

BroadcomFigure
GrowthQ3 FY2026 +86% YoY; AI semiconductors +221% YoY
Order backlog~$110B
Marvell TechnologyFigure
GrowthFY2026 +42% (pure organic); Q2 FY2027 +37%
Optical DSP share60–65%
Hyperscaler sockets35+

Key figures are from the companies' published score files (the scorecard's English summary). A figure is shown only where the score file states it.

How to read this

Both companies passed the same two gates before scoring: real product-market traction (G1), and a ten-year market ceiling of at least ten times current revenue (G2). The Blitz Index then grades speed (25), moat (60) and creative destruction (15), and subtracts BlitzFailing demerits (up to −30) for debt, revenue quality, governance and regulatory cost. The model is frozen at v1.0; past scores are never silently rewritten. Our own pre-registered tests found the score measures business quality — it does not predict stock returns.

Research only — not investment advice. Scores measure blitzscaling strategy from public data. Not a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security.